The majority of the decline in
health care spending growth from 2009 to 2011 was caused by the recession
rather than health systems' responses to the Affordable Care Act, according to a new study
published in the August issue of Health Affairs.
The study, conducted by the
Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University, attributed about 70
percent of the spending slowdown to the recession. The researchers estimated
that health spending would have been 1.8 percentage points higher if the
economy had not faltered in 2008.
As the economy recovers, health spending is
likely to increase at a faster pace, the authors said.