Are we seeing a farewell to ARMs?
During the recent unprecedented boom in housing prices, adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, became a popular option.
To make monthly payments more affordable,many lenders offer these loans whose interest rates are tied to an index and can change when that index changes. ARMs have lower interest rates, and thus lower payments, than traditional fixed-rate loans, but when interest rates in general rise, so do the rates on ARMs.
“It is the perfect loan for people whose income is going to increase in the next few years substantially, or for someone who is probably not going to stay in a house for more than a couple years,” said Dan Vessely, president of the Iowa Bankers Mortgage Corp.
But now, with interest rates increased, many of these borrowers have recently seen, or soon will see, their mortgage rates adjust higher for the first time, making their payments double or even triple. Foreclosures on ARM loans rose to a four-year high of 2.19 percent in the third quarter as borrowers struggled to pay mortgage bills when their monthly payments increased, the national Mortgage Bankers Association reported.
But Vessely said, in Iowa, the effects of both the housing slump and the “payment shock” associated with ARMs will be very limited.
“I’m not saying you won’t have horror stories,” he said. “But we haven’t seen a major problem here in Iowa. Home prices are holding steady, and if that holds true, people will have no problem either refinancing their mortgage or selling the home to pay off the debt.”
Dave Horak, an account manager at Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. in Urbandale, said the greatest effect will be on borrowers in markets like Phoenix and Denver, where home prices skyrocketed three years ago, making many homes too expensive for the average home buyer. But with an ARM, many were able to get into a home that typically would be out of their price range.
“But when the housing market slowed down, those homes lost value,” he said. “And now here we are three years later, and the payment has adjusted to match the new interest rate and they don’t have enough equity to refinance or sell the home.”
Horak agrees, however, that this scenario is not what’s happening in Iowa.
“People need to realize that the market is still very strong,” he said. “Home values have not declined and interest rates are still very favorable compared to 10 or 12 years ago.”
Vessely said many people have become worried because of a lot of recent media attention surrounding ARMs. But most banks are more than happy to work with a homeowner to avoid foreclosure, he said.
Many lenders are taking new steps to assist homeowners and help them avoid falling behind on payments, or worse, going into foreclosure, he said. Many banks now allow some borrowers to refinance into a different type of loan at no cost, alert homeowners with adjustable-rate loans months before the rate is reset and allow a house to be sold at a loss and forgive the remaining debt.
“Any lender will do their best to try to keep people in their home,” Vessely said. “Foreclosure isn’t a good option for either side. As long as you’ve built equity in your home, there should be no problems.”
ARMs can still be a good option for many people, Vessely said, especially if interest rates hold steady or decline in coming years.
“Most ARMs come up for adjustment after three years, so we’re starting to see a lot of people’s payments go up,” he said.”But I still don’t foresee a major issue in Iowa because of the strong housing market.”
Horak said he doesn’t know if he would recommend an adjustable rate mortgage in today’s market, only because there isn’t enough benefit with current interest rates. “The short-term rates aren’t that much lower than where fixed mortgage rates are,” he said.”So I can’t see the benefit.”
Vessely said other types of loans, such as interest only, where borrowers pay only the interest for the first few years of the loan, or minimum payment loans, where borrowers pay a smaller payment and any interest not paid each month is added to the principal, are also available to potential home buyers, but are not nearly as popular.
And because the unpaid interest is added to the mortgage balance, many end up owing more on their mortgage than they originally borrowed.
In the end,ARMs can be a gamble.
“You’re betting that interest rates won’t go up exponentially,” Horak said.”And you’re betting that housing prices are increasing. Really, it’s all about timing. That’s the number one thing.”
Many people believe, Horak said, that because Federal Reserve system policy makers have been consistently raising interest rates, the next logical step is to hold them steady and possibly even lower them. This could make an ARM an attractive option for some home buyers willing to take a risk.